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Demographic Research

Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Demographic Research's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.00% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Social mobility and long-term episodic memory in Britain

Tampubolon, G.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.12.26350709 medRxiv
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Population ageing increases the importance of cognitive capacity for making decisions about retirement and living independently beyond it. We tested whether post-war educational expansion and working-life social mobility eliminate the association between social class of origin and cognition in early old age using the 1958 National Child Development Study. Two outcomes were analysed at age 62: standard episodic memory (immediate + delayed word recall) and long-term episodic memory, capturing accurate half-century recall of childhood household facts (rooms and people at age 11 validated against mothers' responses). Social mobility trajectories derived in prior work were classified into predominantly manual versus non-manual class trajectories. Models were estimated separately for women and men across three specifications: (i) social origin and controls, (ii) adding social mobility, and (iii) adding weighting to address healthy survivor bias. Education was consistently associated with both outcomes. For long-term episodic memory, social origin gradients were clearer than for short-term episodic memory, with men from service/professional origins showing a 13 percentage-point higher probability of accurate half-century recall than men from manual origins. These findings indicate that education expansion and working-life social mobility failed to release the grip of social origin on long-term episodic memory.

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The lingering legacy: Resilience mediates the long-term impact of organisational support on police retirement adjustment

Vaportzis, E.; Edwards, W.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349526 medRxiv
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This study investigated retirement adjustment in retired police officers in the UK (N = 289), examining how time since leaving the service moderates the relationship between perceived organisational support and retirement adjustment while accounting for resilience. Results indicated a developmental trend: organisational support remains stable initially but becomes increasingly influential in later life. Using Johnson-Neyman analysis, a threshold of 32.07 years was identified, after which the association reaches statistical significance. These findings suggest an organisational legacy effect; for the older generation, the retrospective perception of being valued by the service acts as a durable psychological resource. This study offers a novel conceptualisation of long-term organisational influence by identifying a temporally delayed legacy effect that extends beyond existing models of retirement adjustment. The study advocate for lifelong wellbeing strategies that extend, recognising that the organisational relationship continues to shape adjustment outcomes decades after the conclusion of active duty.

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Years Lived without Chronic Diseases after Statutory Retirement - A Register Linkage Follow-up Study in Finland 2000-2021

Pietilainen, O.; Salonsalmi, A.; Rahkonen, O.; Lahelma, E.; Lallukka, T.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.12.26348889 medRxiv
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Objectives: Longer lifespans lead to longer time on retirement, despite the efforts to raise the retirement age. Therefore, it is important to study how the retirement years can be spent without diseases. This study examined socioeconomic and sociodemographic differences in healthy years spent on retirement. Methods: We followed a cohort of retired Finnish municipal employees (N=4231, average follow-up 15.4 years) on national administrative registers for major chronic diseases: cancer, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, mental disorders, and alcohol-related disorders. Median healthy years on retirement and age at first occurrence of illness (ICD-10 and ATC-based) in each combination of sex, occupational class, and age of retirement were predicted using Royston-Parmar models. Prevalence rates for each diagnostic group were calculated. Results: Most healthy years on retirement were spent by women having worked in semi-professional jobs who retired at age 60-62 (median predicted healthy years 11.6, 95% CI 10.4-12.7). The least healthy years on retirement were spent by men having worked in routine non-manual jobs who retired after age 62 (median predicted healthy years 6.5, 95% CI 4.4-9.5). Diabetes was slightly more common among lower occupational class women, and dementia among manual working women having retired at age 60-62. Discussion: Healthy years on retirement are not enjoyed equally by women and men and those who retire early or later. Policies aiming to increase the retirement age should consider the effects of these gaps on retirees and the equitability of those effects.

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Non-genetic component of height as a surrogate marker for childhood socioeconomic position and its association with cardiovascular and brain health: results from HCHS/SOL

Moon, J.-Y.; Filigrana, P.; Gallo, L. C.; Perreira, K. M.; Cai, J.; Daviglus, M.; Fernandez-Rhodes, L. E.; Garcia-Bedoya, O.; Qi, Q.; Thyagarajan, B.; Tarraf, W.; Wang, T.; Kaplan, R.; Isasi, C. R.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350438 medRxiv
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Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.

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Loneliness, Functional Rurality, and Wearable-Measured Physical Activity and Sleep in the All of Us Research Program

Yang, S.; Wu, J.; Klimentidis, Y. C.; Sbarra, D. A.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350412 medRxiv
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Loneliness--the perceived discrepancy between desired and actual social connection--is a common and aversive psychological state associated with a range of adverse health outcomes. Several theoretical models suggest that these associations may operate partly through health behaviors. In this preregistered study, we used data from the All of Us Research Program to evaluate associations of loneliness and functional rurality (FR), a study-specific contextual index of reduced neighborhood accessibility, with Fitbit-derived physical activity and sleep outcomes. Final samples included 16,912 participants for physical activity analyses and 13,937 for sleep analyses. In adjusted models, higher FR was associated with greater loneliness ({beta} = 0.061, 95% CI [0.045, 0.077], p = 9.63 x 10-14). FR and loneliness were independently associated with fewer daily steps and lower moderate-to-vigorous physical activity. Loneliness was also associated with shorter sleep duration, greater sleep duration variability, higher odds of short sleep, and higher odds of low sleep efficiency. FR was not associated with sleep duration or sleep duration variability but showed a small positive association with mean sleep efficiency and lower odds of low sleep efficiency. Interaction analyses provided little evidence that FR modified the associations of loneliness with most outcomes, although the FR x loneliness interaction was significant for sleep duration variability, indicating that loneliness was more strongly associated with irregular sleep duration in higher-FR contexts. Sensitivity analyses using stricter valid-day thresholds, winsorization, quartile-based exposure coding, and a backward 30-day window yielded directionally similar findings. These results suggest that FR and loneliness are independently associated with lower physical activity, whereas loneliness shows a more consistent relationship with adverse sleep patterns.

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Characterizing Loneliness and Health in US Adults: An analysis of 2024 National Health Interview Survey

Dildine, T. C.; Burke, C.; Kapos, F. P.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351034 medRxiv
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Background: Loneliness is common and deleterious to health. Yet little is known about its population burden and health correlates in the US. We aimed to determine the prevalence of loneliness and characterize its health and social functioning correlates among US adults. Methods: With data from the National Health Interview Study (2024), we used survey-weighted Poisson regression to estimate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for frequent loneliness by levels of self-reported general health, social/emotional support, social functioning, and healthcare utilization, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, number of people in household, marital status, and psychological distress. Results: 12 million US adults reported usually or always feeling lonely, which was associated with worse general health and social/emotional support, work and social participation limitations, and healthcare disengagement. Conclusions: Loneliness affects millions of US adults, with substantial health and social functioning burden.

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Trajectories of physical activity components among community-dwelling older adults.

Hoogerheide, B.; Maas, E.; Visser, M.; Hoekstra, T.; Schaap, L.

2026-04-11 rehabilitation medicine and physical therapy 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350593 medRxiv
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Background/Objective: Common measures of physical activity (PA) based on duration and intensity do not fully capture its complexity. Adding additional PA components of muscle strength, mechanical strain, and turning actions, can provide a more complete view of activity behavior. Furthermore, PA behaviors differ between men and women. Therefore, the goal of this study is to identify and cluster similar long-term PA patterns over time for each PA component, examined separately for men and women. Methods: We used data from 4963 participants (52% women; mean age 66 years, SD = 8.6) of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (1992 to 2019). PA component scores were assigned to self-reported activities, and Sequence Analysis with Optimal Matching was used to identify and cluster similar activity patterns over a period of 10 years, separately for each component and stratified by sex. Results: PA components varied by sex and displayed a unique mix of trajectories, including predominately low, medium, or high activity, increasing or decreasing patterns, and trajectories characterized by early or late mortality. Importantly, trajectories remained independent, indicating that changes in one PA component were not linked to changes in others. Conclusion: Older men and women follow distinct and independent long term PA trajectories across components, underscoring that PA behaviour cannot be described by a single dimension. Significance/Implications: The observed independence and heterogeneity of trajectories suggest that muscle strength, mechanical strain, and turning actions capture meaningful and distinct aspects of PA that are not reflected by traditional measures alone. Future PA-strategies could incorporate these dimensions and acknowledge sex-specific patterns to better reflect natural movement. The independence of components suggests that future interventions should target multiple dimensions, as changes in one component may not translate to others. Such an approach may support more tailored and sustainable PA interventions in later life.

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Female genital cutting and maternal attitudes about it: Testing a cultural disempowerment hypothesis

Strand, P. S.; Trang, J. C.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350909 medRxiv
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Female genital cutting (FGC) is identified within global health and human rights discourse as aligned with gender inequality and female disempowerment. The persistence of FGC in high-prevalence societies is assumed to reflect womens limited influence over decisions concerning their daughters. Yet anthropological research has questioned whether this interpretation adequately reflects how FGC is organized within practicing communities. Across two studies with 176,728 participants from 15 African and Asian countries, we examine whether mothers attitudes toward FGC predict daughters circumcision status and whether this relationship varies with regional FGC prevalence. Multilevel logistic regression models show that maternal attitudes strongly predict daughter circumcision status across both datasets. Contrary to expectations derived from disempowerment frameworks, the association between maternal attitudes and daughter outcomes is not weaker in high-prevalence contexts, it is stronger. These findings suggest that interpretations of FGC as reflecting female disempowerment may mischaracterize the social dynamics of societies in which FGC is common. Policy implications of the findings are discussed.

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Mapping the Dynamic Interplay of Mental Health and Weight Across Childhood: Data-Driven Explorations Using Causal Discovery

Larsen, T. E.; Lorca, M. H.; Ekstrom, C. T.; Vinding, R.; Bonnelykke, K.; Strandberg-Larsen, K.; Petersen, A. H.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26350943 medRxiv
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Childhood weight development, especially overweight and obesity, has been associated with mental health, but their dynamic, causal relationships, and whether these differ by sex, remain unclear. We applied causal discovery to data from the Danish National Birth Cohort (n=67,593) spanning six periods from pregnancy to late adolescence and considering 67 variables related to child and parental weight, mental health, lifestyle, and socio-economic factors. We found no statistically significant difference between the causal graphs for boys and girls (P=0.079). The data-driven models found causal influence of childhood weight on subsequent weight status. Mental health pathways were exclusively within or across adjacent periods and centered on early adolescent stress. We examined the interplay between a subset of mental health variables, containing information on externalizing and internalizing problems, and weight, and found no direct causal pathway between the two processes. These findings suggest that observed links between weight and these mental health measures may be attributable to confounding. Our findings demonstrate the value of data-driven causal discovery in large cohort studies and how to test for differences in causal mechanisms across subgroups. Results are available in an interactive application, enabling future research to further explore the interplay between weight and mental health.

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The Association Between Social Determinants of Health and Alzheimer Disease Blood Biomarkers in Midlife

Dintica, C.; Porwal, G.; Caunca, M.; Flemming, N.; Bryan, R. N.; Yaffe, K.

2026-04-15 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350798 medRxiv
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Background: Social determinants of health (SDOH) are increasingly recognized as contributors to Alzheimer disease (AD) risk, yet the impact of multidimensional social disadvantage early AD-related pathophysiology remains poorly understood. Methods: We studied 1,466 participants from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) cohort with SDOH assessed in early midlife (mean age 40, SD 3.6 years) and plasma AD biomarkers measured 20 years later. A comprehensive SDOH index was constructed from 12 indicators spanning five domains (economic stability, education, neighborhood and physical environment, community and social context, and health care access). We examined associations between SDOH quartile and log-transformed, standardized plasma phosphorylated tau 217 (p-tau217), neurofilament light chain (NfL), and amyloid-lower case Greek beta42/40 (Alower case Greek beta42/40) using linear regression adjusted for age, sex, race, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Linear trends across SDOH quartile were also evaluated. Results: Participants in the most disadvantaged SDOH quartile had higher p-tau217, higher NfL and lower Alower case Greek beta42/40 level compared with those in the least disadvantaged quartile (p-tau 217: lower case Greek beta = 0.12, 95% CI 0.03-0.21, p = 0.008; NfL: lower case Greek beta = 0.20, 95% CI 0.05-0.35, p = 0.009; lower case Greek beta42/40: lower case Greek beta = -0.15, 95% CI -0.30-0.00, p=0.05). There was also a significant trend across quartile (p-tau 217: p for trend = 0.012; NfL: p for trend= 0.001). Analyses of individual SDOH domains indicated that lower economic stability, poorer health care access, and lower education were associated with higher NfL, and poorer health care access was associated with higher p-tau217. Conclusions: Greater SDOH disadvantage in early midlife was associated with higher levels of plasma AD biomarkers reflecting AD pathology and neurodegeneration decades later. These findings suggest that social disadvantage during midlife may contribute to early AD-related biological changes and highlight potentially modifiable social factors relevant for dementia prevention.

11
Patterns and predictors of antibiotic use among livestock owners in northeast Madagascar

Xiao, M.; Girard, Q.; Pender, M.; Rabezara, J. Y.; Rahary, P.; Randrianarisoa, S.; Rasambainarivo, F.; Rasolofoniaina, O.; Soarimalala, V.; Janko, M. M.; Nunn, C. L.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350537 medRxiv
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PurposeAntibiotic use (ABU) is a major driver of antimicrobial resistance (AMR), but ABU patterns are poorly understood in low-income countries where the burden of AMR is great and ABU is insufficiently regulated. Here, we report ABU from ten sites ranging from rural villages to small cities in Madagascar, a country with high AMR levels, and present results from modeling to identify factors that may be associated with ABU in this setting. MethodsWe conducted surveys of 290 individuals from ten sites in the SAVA Region of northeast Madagascar to gather data on sociodemographic characteristics, agricultural and animal husbandry practices, recent antibiotic use, the antibiotics that participants recalled using in their lifetimes, and the sources of their antibiotics. Using these data, we conducted statistical analyses with a mixed-effects logistic model to determine which characteristics were associated with recent antibiotic use. ResultsNearly all respondents (N=283, 97.6%) reported ABU in their lifetimes, with amoxicillin being the most widely reported antibiotic (N=255, 90.1% of those reporting ABU). All recalled antibiotics were classified as frontline drugs except for ciprofloxacin. Most respondents who reported antibiotic use also reported obtaining antibiotics without prescriptions from local stores (N=273, 96.5%), while only 52.3% (N=148) reported obtaining antibiotics through a prescriptive route, such as from a health clinic or private doctor. Of the 127 individuals (44.9%) who reported recent ABU, men were found to be significantly less likely to have recently taken antibiotics than women. ConclusionsOur findings provide new insights into ABU in agricultural settings in low-income countries, which have historically been understudied in AMR and pharmacoepidemiologic research. Knowledge of ABU patterns supports understanding of AMR dynamics and AMR control efforts in these contexts, such as interventions on inappropriate antibiotic dispensing. Key pointsO_LIAntibiotic use (ABU) in Madagascar is largely unstudied despite its role in antimicrobial resistance (AMR), which Madagascar faces a high burden of. C_LIO_LIABU was widespread among livestock owners in northeast Madagascar, with the majority of study participants reporting ABU in their lifetimes and most people reporting ABU also having taken antibiotics in the previous three months. C_LIO_LIMost respondents reported obtaining their antibiotics from non-pharmaceutical stores, indicating high levels of unregulated ABU, though more than half also reported sourcing their antibiotics through prescriptive means (like doctors and health clinics). C_LIO_LIMen were less likely than women to have taken antibiotics in the previous three months. C_LIO_LIThese findings support the development of interventions to mitigate the burden of AMR in Madagascar and similar contexts while underscoring the need for more comprehensive research on the drivers and patterns of ABU. C_LI Plain language summaryIn this study, we provide basic information on antibiotic use (ABU) patterns in Madagascar, a country that experiences high levels of resistance but has been particularly understudied in AMR and pharmacological research. We surveyed 290 farmers with livestock from ten sites across northeast Madagascar about their ABU and found that nearly all study participants (N=283, 97.6%) have used antibiotics in their lifetimes, while a little under half of those who reported ABU also reported using antibiotics in the previous three months (N=127, 44.9%). The most used antibiotic was amoxicillin (N=255, 90.1%). Most people obtained their antibiotics from sources that do not require prescriptions, like general stores, indicating that most ABU is unregulated. Through modeling, we also found that men were less likely than women to have taken antibiotics in the previous three months (OR=0.50, CI 0.30-0.82). These findings help us better understand the dynamics of ABU in low-income countries, which have historically been understudied in AMR and pharmacological research. They also support efforts to mitigate the burden of AMR by revealing ABU dynamics that may contribute to the emergence and spread of AMR, as well as identifying targets for intervention to curb inappropriate ABU.

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Policy Levers of HIV Control: Targeted Service Coverage, Financial Protection, and Estimated New HIV Infections in Southeast Asia, 2013-2022

Hung, J.; Smith, A.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350590 medRxiv
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The global ambition to end the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic requires understanding which system-level policy levers, enacted under the framework of Universal Health Coverage (UHC), are most effective in achieving both transmission reduction and diagnostic coverage. This study addresses an important evidence gap by quantifying the within-country association between measurable UHC policy indicators and the estimated rate of new HIV infections across nine Southeast Asian countries between 2013 and 2022. Employing a Fixed-Effects panel data methodology, the analysis controls for time-invariant national heterogeneity, ensuring reliable estimates of policy impact. We found that marginal changes in total current health expenditure (CHE) as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) were not statistically significantly associated with changes in HIV incidence. However, increases in the UHC Infectious Disease Service Coverage Index were statistically significantly associated with concurrent reductions in HIV incidence (p < 0.001), suggesting the efficacy of targeted service implementation as the principal driver of curbing new HIV infections. In addition, the UHC Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, and Child Health Service Coverage Index exhibited a statistically significant positive association with changes in HIV incidence (p < 0.01), which is interpreted as a vital surveillance artefact resulting from expanded detection and reporting of previously undiagnosed HIV cases. Furthermore, out-of-pocket (OOP) health expenditure as a percentage of CHE showed a counter-intuitive negative association with changes in HIV incidence (p < 0.01), suggesting this metric primarily shows ongoing indirect cost burdens on the established patient cohort, or, alternatively, presents a diagnostic access barrier that results in lower case finding. These findings suggest that policymakers should prioritise investment in targeted infectious disease service efficacy over aggregate fiscal commitment and utilise integrated sexual health platforms for strengthened HIV surveillance and case identification.

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The effect of sedentary behaviour and physical activity on 1719 diseases: a Mendelian randomisation phenome-wide association study (MR-PheWAS)

Xu, J.; Parker, R. M. A.; Bowman, K.; Clayton, G. L.; Lawlor, D. A.

2026-04-14 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350507 medRxiv
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Background Higher levels of sedentary behaviour, such as leisure screen time (LST), and lower levels of physical activity are associated with diseases across multiple body systems which contribute to a large global health burden. Whether these associations are causal is unclear. The primary aim of this study is to investigate the causal effects of higher LST (given greater power) and, secondarily, lower moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA), on a wide range of diseases in a hypothesis-free approach. Methods A two-sample Mendelian randomisation phenome-wide association study was conducted for the main analyses. Genetic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were first selected as exposure genetic instruments for LST (hours of television watched per day; 117 SNPs) and MVPA (higher vs. lower; 18 SNPs) based on the genome-wide significant threshold (p < 5*10-8) from the largest relevant genome-wide association study (GWAS). For disease outcomes, we used summary results from FinnGen GWAS, including 1,719 diseases defined by hospital discharge International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes in 453,733 European participants. For the main analyses, we used the inverse-variance weighting method with a Bonferroni corrected p-value of p [&le;] 3.47*10-4. Sensitivity analyses included Steiger filtering, MR-Egger and weighted median analyses, and data from UK Biobank were used to explore replication. Findings Genetically predicted higher LST was associated with increased risk of 87 (5.1% of the 1,719) diseases. Most of these diseases were in musculoskeletal and connective tissue (n=37), genitourinary (n=12) and respiratory (n=8) systems. Genetic liability to lower MVPA was associated with six diseases: three in musculoskeletal and connective tissue and genitourinary systems (with greater risk of these diseases also identified with higher LST), and three in respiratory and genitourinary systems. Sensitivity analyses largely supported the main analyses. Results replicated in UK Biobank, where data available. Conclusions Higher levels of sedentary behaviour, and lower levels of physical activity, causally increase the risk of diseases across multiple body systems, making them promising targets for reducing multimorbidity.

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Racial Differences in Negative Symptoms of Schizophrenia: Examining the Role of Defeatist Beliefs and Discrimination

Spann, D. J.; Hall, L. M.; Moussa-Tooks, A.; Sheffield, J. M.

2026-04-11 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350400 medRxiv
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BackgroundNegative symptoms are core features of schizophrenia that relate strongly to functional impairment, yet interventions targeting these symptoms remain largely ineffective. Emerging theoretical work highlights how environmental factors may shape and maintain negative symptoms. Although racial disparities in schizophrenia diagnosis among Black Americans are well documented and linked to racial stress and psychosis, the impact of racial stress on negative symptoms has not been examined. This study provides an initial test of a novel theory proposing that racial stress - here measured by racial discrimination - influences negative symptom severity through exacerbation of negative cognitions about the self, particularly defeatist performance beliefs (DPB). Study DesignParticipants diagnosed with schizophrenia-spectrum disorder (SSD) (N = 208; 80 Black, 128 White) completed the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS), the Defeatist Beliefs Scale, and self-report measures of subjective racial and ethnic discrimination (Racial and Ethnic Minority Scale and General Ethnic Discrimination Scale). Relationships among variables were tested using linear regression and mediation analysis. Study ResultsBlack participants exhibited significantly greater total and experiential negative symptoms than White participants with no group difference in DPB. Racial discrimination explained 46% of the relationship between race and negative symptoms. Among Black participants, higher DPB were associated with greater negative symptom severity. Discrimination was positively related to both DPB and negative symptoms. DPB partially mediated the relationship between discrimination and negative symptoms. ConclusionsFindings suggest that racial stress contributes to negative symptom severity via defeatist beliefs among Black individuals, highlighting potential targets for culturally informed interventions.

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Early-life adversity and markers of vulnerability to enduring pain in youth: a multimodal neuroimaging study of the ABCD cohort

Quide, Y.; Lim, T. E.; Gustin, S. M.

2026-04-11 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350367 medRxiv
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BackgroundEarly-life adversity (ELA) is a risk factor for enduring pain in youth and is associated with alterations in brain morphology and function. However, it remains unclear whether ELA-related neurobiological changes contribute to the development of enduring pain in early adolescence. MethodsUsing data from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development (ABCD) Study, we examined multimodal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) markers in children assessed at baseline (ages 9-11 years) and at 2-year follow-up (ages 11-13 years). ELA exposure was defined at baseline to maximise temporal separation between early adversity and later enduring pain. Participants with enduring pain at follow-up (n = 322) were compared to matched pain-free controls (n = 644). Structural MRI, diffusion MRI (fractional anisotropy, mean diffusivity), and resting-state functional connectivity data were analysed. Linear models tested main effects of enduring pain, ELA, and their interaction on brain metrics, controlling for relevant covariates. ResultsELA exposure was associated with smaller caudate and nucleus accumbens volumes, and reduced surface area of the left rostral middle frontal gyrus. No significant effects of enduring pain or ELA-by-enduring pain interaction were observed across grey matter, white matter, or functional connectivity measures. ConclusionsELA was associated with alterations in fronto-striatal regions in late childhood, but these changes were not linked to enduring pain in early adolescence. These findings suggest that ELA-related neurobiological alterations may represent early markers of vulnerability rather than concurrent correlates of enduring pain. Longitudinal follow-up is needed to determine whether these alterations contribute to later chronic pain risk.

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A Replicable NeuroMark Template for Whole-Brain SPECT Reveals Data-Driven Perfusion Networks and Their Alterations in Schizophrenia

Harikumar, A.; Baker, B.; Amen, D.; Keator, D.; Calhoun, V. D.

2026-04-12 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349985 medRxiv
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Single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) is a highly specialized imaging modality that enables measurement of regional cerebral perfusion and, in particular, resting cerebral blood flow (rCBF). Recent technological advances have improved SPECT quantification and reliability, making it increasingly useful for studying rCBF abnormalities and perfusion network alterations in psychiatric and neurological disorders. To characterize large scale functional organization in SPECT data, data driven decomposition methods such as independent component analysis (ICA) have been used to extract covarying perfusion patterns that map onto interpretable brain networks. Blind ICA provides a data driven approach to estimate these networks without strong prior assumptions. More recently, a hybrid approach that leverages spatial priors to guide a spatially constrained ICA (sc ICA) have been used to fully automate the ICA analysis while also providing participant-specific network estimates. While this has been reliably demonstrated in fMRI with the NeuroMark template, there is currently no comparable SPECT template. A SPECT template would enable automatic estimation of functional SPECT networks with participant-specific expressions that correspond across participants and studies. The current study introduces a new replicable NeuroMark SPECT template for estimating canonical perfusion covariance patterns (networks). We first identify replicable SPECT networks using blind ICA applied to two large sample SPECT datasets. We then demonstrate the use of the resulting template by applying sc-ICA to an independent schizophrenia dataset. In sum, this work presents and shares the first NeuroMark SPECT template and demonstrating its utility in an independent cohort, providing a scalable and robust framework for network-based analyses.

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Invasive cervical cancers after an HPV-negative test: insights from screening histories

Hassan, S. S.; Nordqvist-Kleppe, S.; Asinger, N.; Wang, J.; Dillner, J.; Arroyo Muhr, L. S.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350679 medRxiv
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Human papillomavirus (HPV) testing is the primary method for cervical cancer screening, and a negative HPV test is associated with a very low subsequent risk of invasive cancer. Nevertheless, a small number of cervical cancers are diagnosed following an HPV-negative testing result, posing challenges within HPV-based screening pathways. Using nationwide Swedish registry data of HPV testing, we identified women diagnosed with invasive cervical cancer between 2019 and 2024 and reconstructed HPV testing histories from the National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). The most recent HPV test prior to diagnosis was defined as the index test, and longitudinal HPV testing trajectories were classified among women with an HPV-negative index test. Of 3,000 women diagnosed with invasive cancer, 243 (8.1%) had an HPV-negative index test. These women were older at diagnosis and more frequently diagnosed at advanced stages compared with women with an HPV-positive index test. Most HPV-negative index tests (66.3%) were performed in the peri-diagnostic period (+/- 30 days). Among women with an HPV-negative index test, 52.7% (128/243) had no prior HPV testing recorded, while the remainder had consistently HPV-negative histories (33.3%, 83/243) or evidence of prior HPV positivity before the index negative test (14%, 32/243). Possible recurrent HPV positivity following an intervening negative test was rare (0.4%, 1/243). HPV-negative screening results preceding invasive cancer reflect heterogeneous screening histories and cannot be explained solely by test failure. Findings highlighting the importance of reaching women earlier in screening programs and show that fluctuating HPV detectability is rare.

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Implementation of point-of-care screening for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis among pregnant women in South Africa: a mixed-methods process evaluation of the Philani Ndiphile trial

Shaetonhodi, N. G.; De Vos, L.; Babalola, C.; de Voux, A.; Joseph Davey, D.; Mdingi, M.; Peters, R. P. H.; Klausner, J. D.; Medina-Marino, A.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350414 medRxiv
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BackgroundCurable sexually transmitted infections (STIs), including Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis, remain highly prevalent among pregnant women in South Africa. Despite poor diagnostic performance in pregnancy, syndromic management remains standard care. Point-of-care (POC) screening enables aetiological diagnosis and same-visit treatment but is not yet included in national guidelines. We conducted a mixed-methods process evaluation to examine determinants of antenatal POC STI screening implementation in public facilities. MethodsThis evaluation was embedded within the three-arm Philani Ndiphile randomized trial (March 2021-February 2025) across four public clinics in the Eastern Cape. Screening used a near-POC, electricity-dependent nucleic acid amplification test with a 90-minute turnaround time. Reach, Adoption, Implementation, and Maintenance were assessed using the RE-AIM framework. Quantitative indicators included uptake of screening, treatment, and follow-up attendance. Qualitative data included in-depth interviews with 20 pregnant women and five focus group discussions with 21 research staff and government healthcare workers. The Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research guided qualitative analysis. Findings were integrated using narrative weaving. ResultsScreening uptake was high (99.0%), with treatment coverage of 95.2% at baseline and 93.5% at repeat screening. Same-day treatment was lower (50.7% and 69.8%) and varied substantially by facility, reflecting operational constraints including turnaround time, patient volume, infrastructure, and electricity. Attendance was higher when screening was integrated into routine ANC. Women valued screening for infant health, while providers recognised advantages over syndromic management but highlighted workforce, resource, and maintenance constraints. Socioeconomic factors, including transport costs, hunger, and work commitments, influenced retention and waiting. ConclusionsAntenatal POC STI screening was acceptable and achieved high treatment coverage in a research setting. However, same-day treatment was constrained by operational requirements of the testing platform. Scale-up will require workflow integration, strengthened health system capacity, and faster diagnostics suited to routine antenatal care. Key MessagesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSSyndromic management remains standard antenatal care in many low-resource settings despite failing to capture up to 89% of infections that remain asymptomatic. Point-of-care aetiological screening has demonstrated feasibility, acceptability, and potential clinical benefit in research settings, yet has not been widely adopted into national policy. Limited evidence exists on the health system requirements and contextual determinants influencing scale-up within routine public facilities. What this study addsThis mixed-methods process evaluation demonstrates high uptake and treatment coverage of antenatal POC STI screening in a trial setting, while identifying facility-level, structural, and socioeconomic factors shaping same-day treatment and retention. We show that implementation success varies substantially across clinics and depends on assay characteristics, workflow integration, human resources, infrastructure reliability, and follow-up capacity. How this study might affect research, practice or policyThese findings provide implementation-relevant evidence to inform national policy deliberations on integrating POC STI screening into antenatal care. Sustainable scale-up will require context-adapted delivery models, strengthened workforce and supply systems, faster diagnostics, and alignment with existing ANC workflows to ensure equitable and durable impact.

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Caregiver knowledge, its determinants and its association with infant and young child feeding and water, sanitation, and hygiene practices among children with severe acute malnutrition in agrarian and pastoral settings of Ethiopia

Areb, M.; Huybregts, L.; Tamiru, D.; Toure, M.; Biru, B.; Fall, T.; Haddis, A.; Belachew, T.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350480 medRxiv
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BackgroundThis study aimed to assess caregiver knowledge of Infant and Young Child Feeding (IYCF), child health, severe acute malnutrition (SAM) screening, and Community-Based Management of Acute Malnutrition (CMAM), its determinants, and associations with IYCF/ WaSH (water, sanitation, and hygiene) practices among caregivers of children 6-59 months with SAM in Ethiopian agrarian and pastoralist settings. MethodData were from the baseline survey of the R-SWITCH Ethiopia cluster-randomized controlled trial (cRCT), which screened [~]28,000 children aged 6-59 months and identified 686 SAM cases. Caregiver knowledge was evaluated using a validated 32-item questionnaire (Cronbachs for internal reliability) and analyzed via linear mixed-effects and Poisson regression models in Stata 17. ResultsCaregiver knowledge was positively associated with improved IYCF/WaSH practices among children aged 6-23 months with SAM, including higher minimum dietary diversity (MDD: IRR=1.50), minimum acceptable diet (MAD: IRR=1.63), and reduced zero vegetable/fruit intake (IRR=0.77), as well as MDD in children aged 24-59 months, improved water access (IRR=1.19), water treatment (IRR=2.02), and handwashing stations (IRR=1.41). Literate ({beta} = 4.1; 95% CI:1.5-6.6, p= 0.016), pregnant({beta} = 4.4; 95% CI:0.9-7.8, 0.018), having child weighing at a health post/ health center ({beta} = 8.9;95% CI:3.5-14.2,p [&le;] 0.001), and higher household wealth index ({beta} = 11.8;95% CI:3.6-20.1,p= 0.005) were associated with higher knowledge, while possible depression ({beta} = -0.3;95% CI: -0.5 to 0.0, p= 0.015) was associated with lower knowledge. ConclusionCaregiver knowledge determines better IYCF/WaSH practices among children aged 6-59 months with SAM. Literacy, pregnancy, having child weighing at a health post or health center, and greater household wealth were associated with caregivers knowledge, whereas possible depression was associated with lower knowledge. Integrating context-specific caregiver education and mental health support into CMAM, GMP(Growth monitoring and promotion), and primary care services could enhance feeding/WaSH practices in Ethiopia.

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Global determinants of vector-targeted insecticide use in public health: a modeling and mapping analysis

Heffernan, P. M.; van den Berg, H.; Yadav, R. S.; Murdock, C. C.; Rohr, J. R.

2026-04-13 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350404 medRxiv
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BackgroundInsecticides remain the cornerstone of mosquito vector control for malaria, dengue, and other mosquito-borne diseases, yet global patterns of deployment and their socioeconomic and environmental drivers are poorly characterized. Understanding where and why insecticides are used is essential for better targeting control efforts and ensuring they are effective, equitable, and efficient. MethodsWe analyzed annual country-level insecticide-use data from 122 countries (1990-2019), reported as standard spray coverage for insecticide-treated nets (ITNs), residual spraying (RS), spatial spraying (SS), and larviciding (LA). Generalized linear mixed models and hurdle models quantified associations between deployment and disease incidence, human development index (HDI), human population density, temperature, and precipitation. Models were evaluated using repeated cross-validation and applied to generate downscaled predictions of insecticide use at subnational administrative region level 2 (ADM2) globally. FindingsInsecticide deployment increased with malaria and dengue incidence, but this response was substantially stronger in higher-HDI countries, indicating that deployment depends on socioeconomic capacity as well as disease burden that leads to weaker scaling in lower-resource settings. Intervention types exhibited distinct patterns; ITN use tracked malaria burden, whereas infrastructure-intensive approaches (e.g., RS and SS) were concentrated in higher-HDI settings and increased with Aedes-borne disease incidence. Downscaled ADM2-level maps uncovered substantial within-country heterogeneity that is obscured at the national scale, highlighting regions where predicted deployment remains low relative to disease risk across sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and parts of Latin America. InterpretationGlobal insecticide deployment reflects not only epidemiological need but also economic and logistical capacity, creating mismatches between risk and control. High-resolution mapping can support more equitable allocation of interventions, guide insecticide resistance stewardship, and improve strategic planning as climate and urbanization reshape mosquito-borne disease risk.